No Growth for Assateague Herd in Latest Census

The Park Service announced in an undated report that there were 75 wild horses on the Maryland side of the island last month, down from 76 a year ago.

The Assateague Island Alliance reported 78 animals in February.

The safe, proven and reversible darting program was shut off in 2016, and in the seven years since, the herd should have doubled in size, at least.

But the curve has been flat for the last five years, and slightly off aim.

Assatuegue Population Trend 04-04-23

The report did not indicate how many of the mares were sterile.

It did indicate an abnormal sex ratio, another byproduct of the Montana Solution, with mares outnumbering stallions 1.7 to 1.

The birth rate was 7.9%, barely enough to keep up with the death rate.

No new foals have hit the ground in 2023.

Like the advocates for the Currituck herd, park staff are pleading with visitors to keep their distance and protect expectant mares from undue stress, hopefully resulting in live births, a last-ditch effort to save the herds they ruined with a restricted-use pesticide.

RELATED: AIA Going Dark on Assateague Pony Census?

How Many Wild Horses Can the Onaqui Mountain HMA Support?

As noted last week, the overlapping allotments offer a weighted average 71.9 AUMs per year per thousand public acres, on top of the 6.7 AUMs per year per thousand public acres allocated to the horses.

The HMA covers 375,915 public acres.

The forage assigned to livestock dwarfs the forage assigned to the horses.

This is why True AMLs are so much larger than current AMLs.  They represent the carrying capacities if HMAs were managed principally for wild horses, as specified in the original statute.

This also explains why the off-range corrals and long-term pastures are flooded with “excess” animals: Most HMAs are managed primarily for livestock.

All of the so-called solutions, including fertility control, adoptions, training and sanctuaries, not to mention the Wild Horse Fire Brigade, with which a growing percentage of the intelligentsia have been duped, ignore this basic truth.

The total estimated forage availability inside the HMA, neglecting wildlife, is (6.7 + 71.9) × 375,915 ÷ 1,000 = 29,547 AUMs per year, enough to support 2,462 wild horses.

That is your True AML, over ten times larger than the current AML.

The stocking rate at the True AML would be 6.5 wild horses per thousand public acres, a little more than half of the rate on the Virginia Range.

Onaqui is another counterexample that defies the carrying capacity narrative of the bureaucrats and ranchers, which the advocates support, not by words but by deeds.

Why are they silent about this?  You’d realize that fertility control isn’t necessary and that the mares are being poisoned for the benefit of the ranchers.

RELATED: How Many Allotments Overlap Onaqui Mountain HMA?

Onaqui Allotments 09-29-21

More Wild Horses Lost This Winter Than Usual?

Storms that rolled across California over the past three months knocking down trees and dumping record-breaking snow in the Sierra also threatened cattle in Nevada, according to a story by the Elko Daily Free Press.

The animals drift with the wind, sometimes into rugged terrain where they can’t be reached.

Some operators are fearful of losing them.  After flying over his spread, one rancher said, “I don’t know how I’m going to get to them.”

Although ranchers can bring hay to stranded cattle, wild horses are on their own.

Food and water may be hard to find for the same reason BLM staff can’t get on the range to assess the damage: Everything’s buried under several feet of snow.

Winter on the Virginia Range 04-02-23

Horses in America Before Arrival of Europeans?

Oral histories of native peoples, dismissed as folklore, say they were.

Now, research suggests that horses were distributed across indigenous communities from Wyoming to Kansas generations before European accounts established their presence, according to a story dated March 31 by The Hill.

The team performed genetic and radiocarbon testing on previously untested horse skeletons in museums and held by tribal nations, finding dozens of examples of horses in these communities that had been ridden, fed by humans and even received veterinary care long before European accounts allow for them having horses at all.

One of the investigators argued in her 2017 thesis that there was no actual evidence “scientific or otherwise” to disprove Native American oral histories of horse cultures that predated Spanish arrival.

Empirical conclusions can’t be proven like theorems in geometry—they are always subject to the test of future experience—but to accumulate enough evidence to cast doubt on the prevailing narrative would have a devastating effect on the ranching agenda, where horses and other native animals have been pushed aside on public lands across the American west to accommodate millions of nonnative cattle and sheep.

RELATED: Free-Roaming Horses Native to North America?

American Prairie Acquires Another Base Property

This report by the Billings Gazette parallels a news release from American Prairie.

The property covers 4,960 total acres southwest of Malta, MT, including 3,075 deeded acres, 1,245 BLM acres and 640 state acres, according to the listing on Land & Farm.

The BLM land lies within the North Wild Horse Allotment, adjacent to the Fort Belknap Indian Reservation.

The Allotment Master Report puts it in the Custodial category, with 1,142 public acres and 143 active AUMs per year, enough to support twelve wild horses.

The Authorization Use Report shows a year-round grazing season.

American Prairie did not indicate if it would petition the BLM for a change in livestock type, to allow bison on the allotment instead of cattle.

RELATED: American Prairie Using Leverage to Achieve Conservation Goals.

North Wild Horse Allotment Map 03-31-23

Specialized Approach Dropped from Pryor Management Plan?

The preliminary plan noted that management of the WHR can be more specialized than that of most HMAs, but the concept has vanished from the preliminary EA now out for public review, according to a report dated March 30 by The Sheridan Press.

Strict adherence to BLM guidance has changed the document from specialized to standardized, similar to plans for wild horse areas across the country.

A woman interviewed for the story explained that all BLM lands are managed in accordance with RMPs, which establish how they will be used, a concept that eludes most advocates, especially those selling HMAPs as a solution to wild horse problems.

Comments on the EA will be accepted through April 14.

All documents have been posted to the project folder in ePlanning.

RELATED: Draft EA Released for Pryor Mountain RMP Update.

New Reg Would Treat All Public Lands Like Grazing Allotments?

The proposed rule would apply standards for rangeland health to all BLM-managed public lands and uses, including watershed function, ecological processes, water quality, and wildlife habitat.

According to the definitions, land enhancement means any infrastructure or other use related to the public lands that is designed to improve production of forage, improve vegetative composition, direct patterns of use to improve ecological condition, provide water, stabilize soil and water conditions, promote effective wild horse and burro management, or restore, protect, and improve the condition of land health or fish and wildlife habitat.

The term includes, but is not limited to, structures, treatment projects, and the use of mechanical devices or landscape modifications achieved through mechanical means.

Wild horse and burro management was not defined, but generally equates to population reduction, to be achieved by helicopters, baited traps, wranglers and/or pesticides, so the regulation could provide the authority to reduce AMLs and zero-out more HMAs.

The rule would direct land managers to identify and prioritize lands and waters through the land management process that require habitat restoration work, such as removing invasive species or restoring streambanks, according to today’s news release.

Publication in the Federal Register will initiate a 75-day public comment period, accompanied by five information forums to discuss the details of the rule.

What the Onaqui Advocates Are Trying to Protect

There are three layers of forage demand within the HMA: Horses, wildlife and livestock.

The 210 horses allowed by plan require 2,520 AUMs per year.

The HMA covers 507,681 total acres, including 375,915 public acres, according to the March 2022 HA/HMA Report.

The stocking rate allowed by plan is 0.6 wild horses per thousand public acres.

Recall that low stocking rates may indicate large amounts of forage assigned to privately owned livestock.

The land must be able to produce at least 6.7 AUMs per year per thousand public acres to support the horses.

The forage assigned to wildlife inside the HMA is unknown, but is probably small, maybe 200 to 300 AUMs per year.

The HMA intersects twelve grazing allotments, as noted previously.

The National Data Viewer shows thirteen, but one, the Pony Express Trail, has no active AUMs.  It appears as a gray strip across the HMA in the map below.

The Allotment Master Report at RAS provides acreage, management status and active AUMs (Salt Lake City Field Office | Fillmore Field Office).

Onaqui Allotment Calcs 03-29-23

About two-thirds of the land is in the Improve category.

The allotments provide 71.9 AUMs per year per thousand public acres, on average, 10.7 times more forage than the land can produce for the horses.  For the most part, it’s the same land!

As the advocates get rid of the horses, the ranchers can get enjoy more of what their allotments have to offer.

RELATED: Onaqui Herd Struggling?

Onaqui Allotments 09-29-21

Beatys Butte Roundup Delayed

A gather page has been created but no activity has been reported.

The HMA covers 438,140 total acres in southern Oregon, according to the March 2022 HA/HMA Report, including 399,725 public acres.

The AML is 250, which is small relative to the available resources.

Livestock receive six times more forage than the horses.

The incident was set to begin in December according to the latest schedule.

RELATED: Another Beatys Butte Roundup in the Works.

Onaqui Herd Struggling?

The Onaqui Catalogue Foundation reported earlier this year that the herd consisted of 144 males, 127 females, ten undetermined and 24 foals, for a total of 305, compared to an AML of 210.

The 2021 roundup took 435 wild horses into custody and returned 123 to the HMA, for a net removal of 312.

The BLM said the pre-gather population was over 475, plus that year’s foals.

Today, foals represent just 7.9% of the population, which is unnatural, a product of the darting program administered by the Wild Horses of America Foundation, not climate change or drought.

This amount is probably only two or three percentage points above the death rate, which was not given.

Why is it important to achieve and maintain AMLs?  So ranchers can access most of the resources in the lawful homes of wild horses.

WITHOUT DARTING PROGRAMS

  • Livestock receive most of the authorized forage, in theory
  • Herds bounce back after roundups

WITH DARTING PROGRAMS

  • Livestock receive most of the authorized forage, in practice
  • Herds don’t bounce back after roundups
  • Massive human involvement
  • Disruption of natural order
  • Injuries and infections
  • Increasing death rates
  • Abnormal sex ratios
  • Sterility

These programs are safe, proven and reversible according to their adherents.

VR Darting Injury 09-15-21

Those who disagree with permitted grazing, and don’t want the mares’ ovaries destroyed with a restricted-use pesticide, are derided by the charlatans at WHAF, who claim to be “in the know” and describe the concern as a “juvenile argument.”

Against PZP 03-26-23

A keyword search of their page about PZP yielded these results:

  • Sterilization – 0 occurrences
  • Sterility – 0
  • Injuries – 0
  • Infections – 0
  • Sex ratios – 0
  • Death rates – 0

As for the wild horse shootings, two stallions were lost.

A herd composed of 281 adults should see around 50 new foals in a given year, a 17.8% birth rate, but only 22 were born in 2022.

That means the advocates got rid of 28 federally protected animals, 14 times more than the shooters.

Why hasn’t a warrant been issued for their arrest?

RELATED: Onaqui Reward Climbs.