Silver King Progress Report

Helicopters started flying on 11/27/18.  Results through 11/29/18:

  • Horses gathered 185
  • Horse deaths 2
  • Horses returned to range 0

The wild horse population was approximately ten times AML at the beginning of the roundup, which affected ‘other mandated uses’ of the land.

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See also this story posted today by The Ely Times.

When the gather is complete, the horses will be at 2X AML, consuming maybe twenty percent of the AUMs on the HMA.  Livestock will receive the rest.  If people understood this, the overpopulation narrative would fall to the ground, taking the fertility control programs with it.

RELATED: Another Unbalanced Report on Silver King Roundup.

Wyoming HMA Population

The following chart shows the population target (AML) for HMAs in Wyoming as a function of HMA size.  Accordingly,

  • Most of the HMAs contain 500,000 acres or less
  • Most of the AMLs are 400 or less
  • AMLs are loosely correlated with HMA size

The correlation coefficient for population and acreage is .46, which means the variations in HMA size are somewhat useful in explaining the variations in AMLs.  The closer the value of this statistic to 1, the stronger the relationship between population and acreage.

Wyoming_HMA_Population-1

If the correlation coefficient was 1, all of the data would fall on a straight line, indicating that population was proportional to acreage.  HMAs of 200,000 acres would have twice as many horses as HMAs of 100,000 acres.

Note that the largest HMA does not have the largest AML and the smallest HMA does not have the smallest AML, but, in general, population goes up as acreage goes up.

Dispersion among the AMLs on the left side of the chart (smaller HMAs) is less than the dispersion among the AMLs on the right side of the chart (larger HMAs), a problem in statistical work known as ‘non-constant variance.’

RELATED: Wyoming HMA Stats.

Wyoming HMA Stats

Most of the Herd Areas and Herd Management Areas are in the southwestern part of the state.  Refer to the map on page 2 of this document.

Acreage and AMLs for HAs are not available, as they are not managed for WHB.

  • Total number of HMAs: 16 (four reported together as a complex)
  • Total land: 4,784,344 acres (mostly public, some private)
  • Total animals: 3,725 (per AMLs)
  • Average population density: 0.78 per thousand acres (1,284 acres per animal)
  • Population density at 3X AML: 2.34 animals per thousand acres
  • HMAs affected by grazing allotments: 16 (see this map)

Wild burros were not reported at any of the Wyoming HMAs.

The largest HMA is Salt Wells Creek, at 1,173,000 acres, and the smallest is Crooks Mountain at 58,000 acres.

Four HMAs have population targets (AMLs) below 150, the minimum number of animals for genetically viable herds.

Population densities vary from 2.56 animals per thousand acres at Green Mountain HMA to 0.33 at Lost Creek HMA.

The average density of 0.78 animals per thousand acres is slightly below the aimed-at density of one animal per thousand acres for all HMAs (across ten western states).

The target density of one horse or burro per thousand acres has little to do with the carrying capacity of the land.  Rather, it represents the forage loss that is considered acceptable by the public-lands ranchers and their allies at the BLM.

NDA OKs Diversionary Feeding of Virginia Range Mustangs?

The Nevada Department of Agriculture has authorized two advocacy groups to feed horses that have come down from the hills, to draw them away from populated areas, according to a report posted yesterday by KRNV-4 TV in Reno.  The animals migrate to lower elevations in the winter, searching for food and water.

The report did not name the advocacy groups.

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Feeding wild horses is generally not recommended and the practice is illegal in Nevada.

UPDATE: The advocacy groups may be the Virginia Range Sanctuary and Wild Horse Connection, based on remarks in this article by The Nevada Independent.

Alto Horses Get Temporary Warning Signs

The New Mexico Department of Transportation has installed fixed warning signs and radar speed signs along Hwy 48 near the town of Alto.  The signs were put in place until Lincoln County commissioners decide if flashing beacons would be appropriate for the area.  Refer to this report, posted today by Ruidoso News.

Alto_Horse_Warning_Signs-1

The Alto horses were recently returned to the range after two years in captivity when a district court judge ruled they were wild, not livestock.

RELATED: County May Agree to Flashing Warning Signs for Alto Horses.