Back in December, Congress awarded an additional $21 million to the BLM to further address the wild horse ‘problem,’ courtesy of the ill-conceived ‘Path Forward.’

Keep in mind that most of the affected lands were set aside for the horses and that the agency involved is responsible for their protection.

Q. How many wild horses could be removed with the additional funding?

A. Given a cost of roughly $1,000 to gather and process one animal, as many as 21,000 could be removed beyond what the BLM had already anticipated in FY 2020.  This does not mean the agency has the capacity in its outplacement programs to handle that many horses.  Probably not.  So let’s reduce the number to 10,000.

Q. Which areas would be targeted first?

A. Given the agency’s bias toward livestock grazing, which existed before FLPMA, HMAs where the poor ranchers are suffering from AUM cutbacks (because of the horses) would likely be at the top of the list.

Q. What economic benefits might accrue from the $21 million expenditure?

A. The government could receive up to $162,000 per year in incremental grazing fees from the ranchers to whom the ‘liberated’ forage is sold (10,000 horses × 12 months per year × $1.35 per AUM).

Q. Are there any other economic benefits?

A. Not to the government, only the cost of warehousing that many more horses, about $2 per day per head.  The ranchers would benefit, of course, but they’re not the ones spending the $21 million.  Think of it as redistribution of wealth: From your pocket to theirs, assuming you pay federal taxes.

Q. Could the expenditure be described as an investment in America’s future?

A. No.  There is no payout and no rate of return.  It’s negative cash flow all the way.  You don’t spend $21 million up front so you can spend an additional $7.1 million annually after that ($162,000 per year – 10,000 horses × $2 per day × 365 days per year).

Q. I thought the ‘Path Forward’ would cut costs and reduce government spending?

A. It’s not about saving money.  There are no plans to close departments, sell buildings and lay people off when AML is achieved.  It’s about enriching the public-lands ranchers and those who operate off-range pastures, sanctuaries and preserves.

RELATED: Wild Horses: Existential Threat to Ranching Agenda.

Rejoice and be glad!  The 2020 grazing season starts tomorrow, with fees stuck in a time capsule since the 1960s.

Pray for good weather and abundant forage (not for the stupid horses) and that the ranchers will always be insulated from the realities of a free market, at least on the cost side.

May they never be forced off the public lands and have to pay (OMG) the going rate to feed their livestock.

RELATED: Grazing Fee Unchanged in 2020, Cost of Feed?, Grazing Fee Defies FLPMA.

Results from the first census of 2020 should be released in the next few days (Maryland side of the island).  The last report from 2019 indicated a large imbalance between mares and studs.  Nevertheless, the PZP zealots cite the program as a success story.

Is the government ramping up its rhetoric about wild horses, ahead of the next installment on the disastrous ‘Path Forward?’

Back in October the acting director of the BLM said wild horses were the greatest threat to America’s public lands.

In December, Congress authorized an additional $21 million to deal with the ‘problem,’ contingent on the development of a game plan.

Now they have to soften up the target—which is not the horses—it’s you.

The ranching cabal wants the herds cut by 70%.

The government is happy to indulge them.

And they want to do it with your approval.

More commentary by Rick Gore.

The video posted yesterday about the grazing program overhaul highlights the conflicts of interest that permeate the management of public lands in the western U.S.

Residents near the proposed horse-feeding operation in Laramie County, WY rejected the idea and so did the planning commission.

The county board of commissioners must now decide if a rule change favoring the developers of the facility will be approved.

At their meeting earlier this month, commissioners tabled the amendment, in hopes of finding an odor propagation model that will corroborate public concerns.

They are probably under considerable pressure to give the right answer, meaning they must ignore the wishes of the people and do as the swamp requires.

Next meeting is March 3, with the final decision postponed until at least April 7.

RELATED: Laramie County BOC: Consent of Governed Notably Absent.

Panel discussion of issues facing the poor ranchers in Utah.

Concerns not addressed in the video:

• Water sources commandeered for personal gain
• Fences that impede the movement of other animals, limiting access to critical resources
• Grazing fees stuck in a time capsule since the 1960s
• Stocking rates that would destroy the land in a single season if it wasn’t for pasture rotation
• Rape and pillage sold as environmental stewardship
• Transmission of diseases to wildlife by domestic livestock (e.g., bighorn sheep)
• Wild horses forced off their home range so their food can be sold to the ranchers, courtesy of American taxpayers
• Consumers unable to tell if they’re buying range-fed beef
• Conflicts of interest by those who manage and monitor the programs

How can they defend any of this?

RELATED: BLM to Modernize Grazing Regulations on Public Lands.

What does the new plan look like in terms of key management indicators?

Data from the AML rationale document for the Heber WHT:

• 19,700 acres available
• 1,248 AUMs allocated to horses
• 506 AUMs assigned to privately owned livestock

Other values needed to compute the KMIs:

• 12 month grazing season for horses
• 5.6 month grazing season for livestock (determined elsewhere)
• 600 pounds dry weight per AUM (assumed)

Herd size

• 104 horses allowed by plan (1,248 ÷ 12)
• 90 cow/calf pairs allowed by plan (506 ÷ 5.6)

Stocking rate

• 5.3 horses per thousand acres (104 ÷ 19,700 × 1,000)
• 4.6 cow/calf pairs per thousand acres (90 ÷ 19,700 × 1,000)

Resource loading

• 3.2 pounds per acre per month for horses (1,248 × 600 ÷ 19,700 ÷ 12)
• 2.8 pounds per acre per month for livestock (506 × 600 ÷ 19,700 ÷ 5.6)

Would you say that the WHT is managed principally for wild horses?

During the grazing season, no.  During the off season, when livestock values drop to zero, yes.

Many of the horses currently inhabiting the area will have to be removed to achieve these targets.

RELATED: Forest Service Invites Comments on Heber Management Plan.