Group Uses Pancake Deaths to Sell Montana Solution

As if right on cue, the executive director of the Campaign Against America’s Wild Horses told FOX 5 News of Las Vegas in a report posted yesterday that her group supports the ill-advised plan to end helicopter roundups and the use of fertility control vaccines to eradicate wild horses.

Ranchers in the Pancake Complex receive over five times more forage than the horses, yet this woman, and other like her, want to target the horses.

RELATED: Anti-Helicopter Chatter Too Far Downstream to Help Wild Horses.

Sulphur Roundup Day 8

The incident began on February 8.  Gather stats through February 15:

  • Target: Horses
  • Type: Planned
  • Method: Helicopter
  • Captured: 377, up from 299 on Day 5
  • Average daily take: 47.1
  • Capture goal: 376
  • Removal goal: 326
  • Returned: 20, up from zero on Day 5
  • Deaths: 11, up from 7 on Day 5
  • Shipped: 308, up from 184 on Day 5

The capture goal has been achieved.

A stallion was euthanized on Day 6, followed by two more on Day 8.  A stallion died on Day 8 of a broken neck.  The death rate increased to 2.9%.

The cumulative total includes 180 stallions, 197 mares and no foals.

The absence of youngsters implies a negative growth rate.  The herd is getting smaller, without the aid of helicopters, which is what the advocates are trying to accomplish in other areas with the Montana Solution.  A growth rate of 20% per year is often used by land managers to predict herd sizes.

Of the adults, 47.7% were stallions and 52.3% were mares.

Body condition scores were not reported.

The location of the trap site within the HMA was not provided.

Twenty stallions were released on Day 8 to an undisclosed location.

Sulphur HMA Map 01-25-22

Day 8 ended with 38 unaccounted-for animals.

The number of horses removed to date is 357.

Mares returned to the HMA, which may correspond to the unaccounted-for animals, will be treated with PZP or GonaCon Equine.

Other statistics:

  • AML: 250
  • Forage assigned to horses: 3,000 AUMs per year
  • Pre-gather population: 600
  • Forage liberated to date: 4,284 AUMs per year
  • Water liberated to date: 3,570 gallons per day
  • Forage assigned to livestock: 10,256 AUMs per year (estimated)
  • Horses displaced from HMA by permitted grazing: 854
  • True AML: 1,104
  • Stocking rate at new AML: 4.8 wild horses per thousand public acres
  • Horses displaced from HMA by drilling and mining: Ask the advocates

RELATED: Sulphur Roundup Day 5.

Nevada Farm Bureau Opposes Helicopter Ban

The group, which represents the interests of farmers and ranchers in the state, said in news release posted today by the Elko Daily Free Press that HR 6635, legislation that would ban the use of helicopters in wild horse and burro roundups, would seriously thwart the efforts of the BLM to achieve AMLs as well as restore the condition of rangelands that provide habitat for wildlife and multiple-use stakeholders.

Helicopter roundups are the only cost-effective method available for gathering the necessary number of animals over vast and difficult terrain, according to the writers, who did not explain that AMLs are usually small relative to the available resources.

Western Horse Watchers has not seen any critiques of the proposal by groups representing drilling and mining interests.

RELATED: Anti-Helicopter Chatter Too Far Downstream to Help Wild Horses.

Pancake Roundup Over

The incident concluded today, according to a statement at the gather page, with 2,054 horses captured, 2,004 shipped, 26 dead and 24 returned.

There were no unaccounted-for animals.

The number of horses removed from the Complex was 2,030.

The capture goal was 2,060 and the removal goal was 2,030.

The cumulative total includes 853 stallions, 954 mares and 247 foals.

Youngsters represented 12.0% of the horses captured, consistent with a growth rate of seven percent per year, assuming a five percent death rate.

Of the adults, 47.2% were stallions and 52.8% were mares.

Body condition scores were not reported.

A coalition of advocacy groups tried unsuccessfully to block the roundup.

The loss of a colt on Day 1 sparked outrage among some advocates and prompted calls for an end to helicopter roundups.

The BLM claimed that the Complex was overpopulated with 3,244 wild horses, when it authorizes privately owned livestock equivalent to 3,612 horses in the same area, on top of the 638 horses allowed by plan.

RELATED: Pancake Roundup Announced.

UPDATE: BLM news release dated February 15 omits deaths.

Pancake Roundup Day 34

The incident began on January 11.  Gather stats through February 13:

  • Target: Horses
  • Type: Planned
  • Method: Helicopter
  • Captured: 2,054, up from 1,980 on Day 32
  • Average daily take: 60.4
  • Capture goal: 2,060
  • Removal goal: 2,030
  • Returned: 18, no change from Day 32
  • Deaths: 26, up from 24 on Day 32
  • Shipped: 1,960, up from 1,871 on Day 32

Gather operations have concluded.

A stallion was put down on Day 34 and another died of a broken neck, lifting the death rate to 1.3%.

The cumulative total includes 853 stallions, 954 mares and 247 foals.

Youngsters represented 12.0% of the horses captured, consistent with a herd growth rate of seven percent per year, assuming a five percent death rate.  A growth rate of 20% per year is often used by land managers to predict herd sizes.

Of the adults, 47.2% were stallions and 52.8% were mares.

Body condition scores were not reported.

The location of the trap site within the Complex was not provided.

Pancake Complex Map 01-07-22

Day 34 ended with 50 unaccounted-for animals.  Some will be returned to the Complex and some will be shipped, with final results announced on Day 35.

The number of horses removed to date is 2,036.

Other statistics:

  • AML: 638 (across two HMAs, one WHT and one HA)
  • Forage assigned to horses: 7,656 AUMs per year
  • Pre-gather population: 3,244
  • Forage liberated to date: 24,432 AUMs per year
  • Water liberated to date: 20,360 gallons per day
  • Forage assigned to livestock: 43,344 AUMs per year (estimated)
  • Horses displaced from Complex by permitted grazing: 3,612
  • True AML: 4,250
  • Stocking rate at new AML: 3.5 wild horses per thousand acres
  • Horses displaced from Complex by drilling and mining: Ask the advocates

RELATED: Pancake Roundup Day 32.

Can the Sulphur Percentage of Foals Be Attributed to Chance?

The gather page for Day 5 of the roundup indicates zero foals captured out of 299.

Sulphur Roundup Results Day 5 02-13-22

If the herd is growing at a rate of 20% per year, as claimed by the bureaucrats and ranchers, it should contain around 25% foals, allowing for a 5% death rate.

Is the observed percentage of foals sufficiently far from the expected percentage to indicate a problem or should it be written off to chance?

The question can only be answered by calculation, using basic statistical formulas.

How to Compute p-chart Limits 02-10-22

The expected range of variation for a simple random process centered at p-bar = .25, with samples of n = 299, is .175 to .325.  Every horse in the sample is a foal or it is not.

The observed percentage of foals is outside this range so the result cannot be attributed to chance.

An investigation should be able to link the observed value with one or more assignable causes, such as a fertility control program.

RELATED: Youngsters Hard to Find at Sulphur HMA.

WSJ Looks at Pancake Roundup

The article can be accessed by subscribers only, but it does include an audio synopsis.

The Complex cannot be overpopulated with 3,244 wild horses, as stated in the story, when the BLM authorizes privately owned livestock equivalent to 3,612 wild horses in the same area, on top of the 638 horses allowed by plan.

The roundup enforces the resource allocations of the land-use plans, and may reduce the effects on the ranchers from a temporary change in the weather.

RELATED: Pancake Roundup Day 32.

Lots to Celebrate at Sulphur HMA, If You’re an Advocate

Here are some of the highlights:

  • No foals have been reported five days into the roundup
  • The herd is getting smaller, without the aid of helicopters
  • The death rate is probably increasing, as explained here
  • PZP and GonaCon will stabilize the birth rate, which appears to be zero
  • Livestock receive 77.4% of the authorized forage, neglecting wildlife
  • Around 850 horses have been displaced from the HMA by permitted grazing
  • The HMA has a herd management area plan (HMAP)

The advocates are pleased with these results.  The herd is well on its way to extinction, with benefits accruing to the public-lands ranchers.

This is what you’re supporting when you give them money.

RELATED: Youngsters Hard to Find at Sulphur HMA.

Sulphur Roundup Day 5

The incident began on February 8.  Gather stats through February 12:

  • Target: Horses
  • Type: Planned
  • Method: Helicopter
  • Captured: 299, up from 241 on Day 3
  • Average daily take: 59.8
  • Capture goal: 376
  • Removal goal: 326
  • Returned: None
  • Deaths: 7, up from 2 on Day 3
  • Shipped: 184, up from 84 on Day 3

Four horses were put down on Day 4, followed by another on Day 5, lifting the death rate from 0.8% to 2.3%.

The cumulative total includes 145 stallions, 154 mares and no foals.

The absence of youngsters implies a negative growth rate.  The herd is getting smaller, without the aid of helicopters, a result favored by the advocates.  A growth rate of 20% per year is often used by land managers to predict herd sizes.

Of the adults, 48.5% were stallions and 51.5% were mares.

Body condition scores were not reported.

The location of the trap site within the HMA was not provided.

Sulphur HMA Map 01-25-22

Day 5 ended with 108 unaccounted-for animals.

With an average daily take of 60, the capture goal should be achieved by Day 7.

The number of horses removed to date is 299.  Horses returned to the HMA will be treated with population suppression of unspecified type.

Other statistics:

  • AML: 250
  • Forage assigned to horses: 3,000 AUMs per year
  • Pre-gather population: 600
  • Forage liberated to date: 3,588 AUMs per year
  • Water liberated to date: 2,990 gallons per day
  • Forage assigned to livestock: 10,256 AUMs per year (estimated)
  • Horses displaced from HMA by permitted grazing: 854
  • True AML: 1,104
  • Stocking rate at new AML: 4.8 wild horses per thousand public acres
  • Horses displaced from HMA by drilling and mining: Ask the advocates

The HMA cannot be overpopulated with 600 wild horses, when the BLM authorizes privately owned livestock equivalent to 854 wild horses in the same area, on top of the 250 horses allowed by plan.

RELATED: Sulphur Roundup Day 3.

Burro Removal at Chocolate Mountain Gunnery Range?

Last June, personnel at the Marine Corps Air Station Yuma asked the BLM to remove 30 to 40 wild burros from the western edge of the Chocolate Mountain Aerial Gunnery Range in Imperial County, California, according to a new project at ePlanning.

The range is between the Salton Sea and Chocolate Mule Mountains HMA.

The roundup would be carried out with bait traps and captured animals would be taken to the off-range corrals at Ridgecrest.

Chocolate Mountain Gunnery Range Map 02-12-22

The project includes no supporting documents and it has not been announced at the BLM news site.

Opportunities for public involvement may be limited, given that the BLM is seeking approval under a categorical exclusion.

Pancake Roundup Day 32

The incident began on January 11.  Gather stats through February 11:

  • Target: Horses
  • Type: Planned
  • Method: Helicopter
  • Captured: 1,980, up from 1,860 on Day 29
  • Average daily take: 61.9
  • Capture goal: 2,060
  • Removal goal: 2,030
  • Returned: 18, no change from Day 29
  • Deaths: 24, up from 20 on Day 29
  • Shipped: 1,871, up from 1,732 on Day 29

Three horses were put down on Day 30, followed by another on Day 31, boosting the death rate to 1.2%.

The cumulative total includes 822 stallions, 919 mares and 239 foals.

Youngsters represented 12.1% of the horses captured, consistent with a herd growth rate of seven percent per year, assuming a five percent death rate.  A growth rate of 20% per year is often used by land managers to predict herd sizes.

Of the adults, 47.2% were stallions and 52.8% were mares.

Body condition scores were not reported.

The location of the trap site within the Complex was not provided.

Pancake Complex Map 01-07-22

Day 32 ended with 67 unaccounted-for animals.

With an average daily take of 62, the capture goal should be reached by Day 34.

The number of horses removed to date is 1,962.  Mares returned to the Complex will be treated with fertility control of unspecified type.

Other statistics:

  • AML: 638 (across two HMAs, one WHT and one HA)
  • Forage assigned to horses: 7,656 AUMs per year
  • Pre-gather population: 3,244
  • Forage liberated to date: 23,544 AUMs per year
  • Water liberated to date: 19,620 gallons per day
  • Forage assigned to livestock: 43,344 AUMs per year (estimated)
  • Horses displaced from Complex by permitted grazing: 3,612
  • True AML: 4,250
  • Stocking rate at new AML: 3.5 wild horses per thousand acres
  • Horses displaced from Complex by drilling and mining: Ask the advocates

RELATED: Pancake Roundup Day 29.

Youngsters Hard to Find at Sulphur HMA

Figures for Day 4 of the roundup show zero foals captured to date.

No Foals at Sulphur HMA 02-12-22

With no new blood hitting the ground, the herd will shrink without the aid of helicopters and the ranchers will be able to enjoy everything their allotments have to offer.

How much longer before the advocates point to the HMA as a paragon of wild horse management?  It even has a herd management area plan (HMAP)!

RELATED: Sulphur Roundup Day 3.

Lower Speed, More Fencing for Virginia Range Mustangs?

Yesterday’s meeting produced a variety of suggestions for reducing collisions with vehicles, according to a story by the Reno Gazette Journal.

Another meeting was scheduled for May 16, to review data and recommendations from speed studies in south Reno.  The goal is to draft an action plan by the fall.

Not mentioned in the report is the clear and present danger of the advocates.

Every year they eradicate 600 to 750 wild horses with the Montana Solution, compared to a dozen or so killed by motorists.  Why isn’t the city investigating them?

RELATED: City of Reno to Host Meeting on Virginia Range Mustangs.